With spring football and the portal movement slowing down (fingers crossed) forecasting the 2024 season becomes an easier proposition. The 13 FBS programs in the Lone Star State share a common feeling heading into June: Hope. New faces and new opportunities provide a fresh slate for rosters and coaching staff. 

The 2024 season is a new day for the Great State. Texas reunites with Texas A&M in the SEC and SMU joins the P4 as ACC members. But what are the best- and worst-case scenarios for each team in the upcoming season? We’ll breakdown at each one. We started with Texas and continue with Texas A&M. 

TEXAS A&M AGGIES 

2023 Record: 7-6, loss in Texas Bowl 
2024 Schedule 
Aug. 31                Notre Dame     
Sept. 7                 McNeese            
Sept. 14               at Florida            
Sept. 21               Bowling Green                 
Sept. 28               Arkansas (Arlington)  
Oct. 5                   Missouri              
Oct. 19                 at Mississippi State     
Oct. 26                 LSU                          
Nov. 2                   at South Carolina         
Nov. 16                 New Mexico State        
Nov. 23                 at Auburn           
Nov. 30                 Texas     

Best case for 2024: Despite the turnover on the coaching staff and on the roster via the transfer portal, no team in the SEC returns more production than the Aggies in 2024, according to ESPN.com. That starts offensively with quarterback Conner Weigman, a stable of experienced running backs, and a wide receiver core that still includes Noah Thomas and Moose Muhammad. The offensive line is the big question mark for offensive coordinator Collin Klein. Elko’s defense should be solid, especially because of edge transfer Nic Scourton and a bevy of talented defensive back transfers. 

More good news for the 12th Man is that the toughest challenges on the schedule take place at Kyle Field. That starts in Week 1 against Notre Dame, but also includes home games against Mizzou, LSU, and Texas. If the Aggies find a way to split those four games, a 10-win season and a possible trip to the College Football Playoff is on the menu. Texas A&M is the likely betting favorite in its eight other games. 

Worse case for 2024: The Aggie faithful knows that the best-case scenario rarely plays out that way. Another injury or two at quarterback could derail any possible improvement in the record because the offensive line still feels unproven, especially at right tackle. Bringing in over two dozen new transfers and implementing a completely new system also comes with headaches. It is possible that A&M loses all four tough games at home – Notre Dame, LSU, Mizzou, and Texas. In that scenario, the ceiling is eight wins. Trips to Florida and Auburn could be tricky, and the neutral site game against Arkansas in Jerry World is always full of twists and turns. A six-win season feels like the floor, but there are potentially seven or eight losses on the schedule if the Aggies falter.